
Tucker Carlson has risen to 7 percent in the 2028 Republican presidential nomination prediction markets, despite having no campaign, committee, or party apparatus, due to his large independent media presence and the dissatisfaction of Trump’s base with his declining approval ratings.
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Institutional hedges move prices. Campaigns read those prices as momentum. Journalists cite them as forecasts. Donors discover that moving a market is cheaper than running ads — and pays dividends if they’re right.
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While officials say talks with Iran are progressing behind closed doors, publicly, it looks like a stalemate with a ticking clock.
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