The Science of Forecasting: How to Prepare Your Research for the Future0

• SCIENCE, Science / Health, Science Mission Directorate, scientists, Space, Space Communications & Navigation Program, Space Launch System (SLS), Space Telescope, space-x-ipo, SpaceX
• July 20, 2026

Every research program is a commitment to the future. However, scientists rarely examine the assumptions behind those bets. Decisions about subsidies, infrastructure, contracting, regulation, and training often assume that certain technologies will mature, specific skills will be needed, the public will accept the resulting innovations, and few risks will materialize. However, these assumptions are rarely