Updated July 12, 2026 – 5:55 p.m.,first published 5:50 p.m. Save You have reached your maximum number of saved items. Remove items from your saved list to add more. TOTOTO Support for Pauline Hanson’s party has fallen for the first time in four months and has shifted towards the Coalition as women and immigrants turn
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Support for Pauline Hanson’s party has fallen for the first time in four months and has shifted towards the Coalition as women and immigrants turn their backs on the One Nation leader over key elements of her political agenda.
An exclusive Resolve Political Monitor poll shows support for One Nation fell three points in July to 26 per cent, while support for the Coalition rose by the same amount to 23 per cent. Labor support was stable at 28 per cent, while the Greens were unchanged at 12 per cent.
One Nation enjoyed a five-point rise in support in June, making it the more popular party than the Coalition or Labor Party. Hanson was the preferred prime minister and her support was double that of opposition leader Angus Taylor.
But after a month in which Hanson gave his first speech to the National Press Club and outlined policies that included his support for an Australian “monoculture,” key metrics of his personal standing also fell in the survey of 2,252 people conducted between July 6 and 11.
Anthony Albanese was the preferred prime minister among 33 per cent of respondents, an increase of four points, while the figure rose by five points for Angus Taylor, who reached 21 per cent. Support for Hanson fell eight points to 25 percent.
Albanese’s performance was rated good by 39 percent of respondents, a four-point increase from June and his best rating since December. Voters also raised their rating of Taylor, up three points, to 41 percent. Hanson, included for the first time in this question, earned the highest score at 45 percent.
But the One Nation leader suffered a sharp drop in her likability rating, which reached 14 points in June. It fell to three points in July, while support for One Nation (from 16 to eight points) and Barnaby Joyce (plus one point to minus two) also fell.
In June, 28 per cent of respondents believed Hanson would lead One Nation to victory in the next federal election, compared to 34 per cent who expected Albanese to remain in power. This month, expectations of a One Nation government have fallen to 19 per cent, while 35 per cent expect Albanese to remain in The Lodge. Only 18 per cent believe the Coalition is on track for victory.
Despite changes in primary support between the Coalition and One Nation, the overall political landscape has not changed. Labor is still ahead of both Conservative parties on a two-party preference basis.
Resolve pollster Jim Reed said there has been a shift away from Hanson among key demographic groups over the past month, including among foreign-born people, people ages 18 to 34 and those who are fully employed.
“The two biggest losses for [Hanson] they are among immigrants and women, and suggest that their comments on areas such as multiculturalism and abortion have shown that One Nation is the party of old after all. “Lamb dressed as lamb, in political terms,” he said.
“These are all signs that the varnish has come off a little bit.”
The poll shows that voters support some of Hanson’s key policy pronouncements. Half agreed with his claim that many young workers were lazy, compared to just 23 percent who disagreed, while 53 percent supported his argument that the country’s immigration conditions were wrong.
Hanson’s concerns about the priorities of the NDIS (72 per cent) and that poverty was a serious problem that needed to be addressed by the government (73 per cent) also received strong support.
But more people (39 per cent) disagreed with his view that Australia would be better off if it were “monocultural” (33 per cent support), while his attacks on SBS, the ABC and the United Nations were backed by only a minority of those surveyed.
Pressed on Hanson’s monoculture plan, Joyce said Sunday that he did not believe in multiculturalism, while linking the issue to the Inca empire of pre-Columbian South America.
“You’re multi-ethnic, you’re multi-religious, there’s a whole range of that, but to be in Australia, you have to get to the point of an Australian culture, and I stick to that,” he told Sky News.
“And maybe it’s a little trite, but as an example, the Incas had a culture: they believed that people’s heads were cut off, they were rolled around outside the temple, their hearts were ripped out, and the sun came out. Now that’s a culture, it’s totally and absolutely intolerable.”
But Education Minister Jason Clare said One Nation and the Coalition were denying the strength of multiculturalism and its important role in Australia.
“When I go to primary school, I tell young children – a bit as an education minister you can do that – that Australia is a bit like a fruit salad,” he said.
“We all like apples, oranges and bananas, but they’re better when they’re all together. And that’s Australia. We’re not all the same, but we all get along and work together.”
Hanson also argued that it should be easier to fire people. While 32 percent of respondents supported his opinion, 36 percent opposed it.
Reed said Hanson received support on some key issues, but not all.
“Limits are drawn when she mixes these issues with firing people, multiculturalism, scrapping SBS, as well as focusing on abortion and the UN,” he said.
In a problem for Taylor, the Coalition still ranks below Albanese and the government on key measures, including whether it is a better communicator, has a united team, is honest and trustworthy and is best for the country.
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Shane Wright is senior economics correspondent for The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age.Connect through X either email.From our partners
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