Can AI models reliably forecast extreme weather events?0

• SCIENCE
• March 16, 2026

A meteorologist in Kolkata, India, highlights the approaching Cyclone Dana in October 2024.Credit: Rupak De Chowdhuri/NurPhoto via Getty Improvements in weather forecasting rank high among science’s success stories of the twentieth century1. Back in the 1970s, there were four tropical cyclones that killed tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of people, whereas today